Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v New York Mets

2026-08-22 23:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 52.06%1.92fair odd
EV -0.563%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.619%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.15%51.99%52.00%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.841.831.9156.50%54.43%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 47.94%2.09fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.01%48.00%48.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.37%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago White Sox (Local): 52.06%; New York Mets (Visit): 47.94%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -0.563%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.563%E -0.295%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 22:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.563%E -0.295%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.563%E -0.295%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 22:35
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.563%E -0.295%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 00:20
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.08%E -0.570%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.64%E -1.81%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 00:29
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.60%E -0.849%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.20%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.73%E -0.842%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 22:34
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 00:29
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.21%E -2.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.21%E -2.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 23:24
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:00
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 23:14
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 22:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.56%E -2.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 00:28
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 21:54
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.33%E -4.12%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.96%E -4.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.85%E -4.44%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-21 21:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-21 21:50
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-08-21 23:55
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%4.0%2026-08-22 01:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%10.1%2026-08-21 23:15

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