默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago White Sox v New York Mets

2026-08-22 23:10 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

52%

48%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago White Sox (主队)

预测 52.08%1.92公平赔率

EV -0.523%

优势 -0.274%

Kelly -0.574%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布

51.15%52.01%52.06%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.761.831.831.9156.82%54.59%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 47.92%2.09公平赔率

EV -1.77%

优势 -0.863%

Kelly -1.68%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布

47.37%47.99%47.94%48.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.34%50.00%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Chicago White Sox (主队)：52.08%；New York Mets (客队)：47.92%。对于“Chicago White Sox (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为1.91，期望值为-0.523%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
GTbets🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.523%E -0.274%K -0.574%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-21 22:34
LowVig.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.523%E -0.274%K -0.574%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-21 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.523%E -0.274%K -0.574%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-21 22:35
BetUS🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.523%E -0.274%K -0.574%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-22 00:20
Caesars🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.04%E -0.549%K -1.16%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.69%E -1.83%K -3.65%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-22 00:29
1xBet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.56%E -0.828%K -1.76%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.16%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-21 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-21 22:34
FanDuel🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-21 22:09
DraftKings🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.78%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-22 00:30
Bovada🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-21 22:10
Bet Right🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-21 23:24
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-21 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-21 22:00
Betway🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-21 23:14
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 00:29
Unibet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
Casumo🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
BetRivers🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
betPARX🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
Svenska Spel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
ATG (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
Bally Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-21 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-21 23:15
PlayUp🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-22 01:14
Marathon Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-21 22:00
SportsBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.78%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-21 22:09
Fliff🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-21 21:50
Coolbet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-21 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-21 23:15
TABtouch🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.78%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-22 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.73%E -3.17%K -7.08%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-22 00:28
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-21 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-21 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-21 21:55
Paddy Power🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-21 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-22 01:09
Bet Victor🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-21 21:54
ReBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-21 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.29%E -4.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.00%E -4.17%K -8.69%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.81%E -4.41%K -10.15%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-08-21 23:15
Grosvenor🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.33%E -4.74%K -10.97%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.00%E -4.17%K -8.69%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-08-22 01:09

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Polymarket◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-08-21 21:50
Kalshi◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-08-21 21:50
Novig◎	1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%	1.7%	2026-08-21 23:55
ProphetX◎	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%	3.4%	2026-08-22 01:14
Smarkets◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%	10.1%	2026-08-21 23:15

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