Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v New York Mets

Início: 2026-08-22 23:10 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 5–10 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 50.51%1.98odd justa
EV -0.497%
Vantagem -0.252%
Kelly -0.512%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.64%50.46%52.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.881.881.9756.50%53.21%53.19%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 49.49%2.02odd justa
EV -0.028%
Vantagem -0.014%
Kelly -0.028%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.00%49.36%49.54%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.941.942.0254.64%51.54%51.55%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 50.51%; New York Mets (Visitante): 49.49%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.021. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.020, com valor esperado de -0.028%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.497%E -0.252%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 23:05
Caesars🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.497%E -0.252%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.48%E -2.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 22:58
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.00%E -0.511%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.99%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.00%E -0.511%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.99%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.00%E -0.511%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.99%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -1.51%E -0.773%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -2.01%E -1.01%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.51%E -0.773%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.51%E -0.773%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.51%E -0.773%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:04
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.51%E -0.773%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.43%E -5.15%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 22:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.02%E -0.509%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-22 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.028%E -0.014%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 23:10
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:04
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:59
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:59
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:00
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.523%E -0.260%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.02%E -0.509%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:10
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.99%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 23:07
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.98%E -2.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.04%E -2.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.99%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:59
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.04%E -2.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.48%E -2.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.04%E -2.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.98%E -2.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.04%E -2.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.98%E -2.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.99%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.02%E -0.509%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 23:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 22:14
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -7.06%E -3.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.50%E -1.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.57%E -4.14%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.00%E -1.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 22:14
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.57%E -4.14%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.57%E -4.14%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -4.98%E -2.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.57%E -4.14%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.57%E -4.14%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.45%E -3.99%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 23:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -8.07%E -4.44%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.00%E -1.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -8.07%E -4.44%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -3.99%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.58%E -4.74%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.58%E -4.74%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 22:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.08%E -5.05%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.08%E -5.05%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 23:03
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -10.60%E -5.99%K -13.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 22:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-08-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-22 23:10
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-08-22 23:10
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 09:50
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 23:05
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.3%2026-08-22 23:10
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-08-22 23:10
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-08-22 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-08-22 23:09