Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-09 18:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 51.08%1.96fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.01%51.07%52.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.861.861.9155.87%53.86%53.76%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 48.92%2.04fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.607%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.33%48.99%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.941.942.0753.19%51.45%51.55%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago White Sox (Local): 51.08%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 48.92%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.07, producing a positive expected value of +1.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -4.98%E -2.68%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV +1.26%E +0.607%K +1.17%G +0.015%2.1%2026-08-08 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.45%E -1.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.19%E -0.589%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.45%E -1.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.19%E -0.589%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 19:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.63%E -1.85%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.98%E -2.68%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.12%E -2.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:09
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:09
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.98%E -2.68%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:09
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.61%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:09
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.10%E -2.63%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.98%E -2.68%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.63%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.01%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:08
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.50%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-08 19:10
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 51.22%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%8.5%2026-08-08 19:10
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%9.9%2026-08-08 19:10