Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-08-09 18:10 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 5–3 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 45.58%2.19odd justa
EV -0.642%
Vantagem -0.295%
Kelly -0.544%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%45.63%45.62%47.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.70%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 54.42%1.84odd justa
EV -0.406%
Vantagem -0.222%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.88%54.37%54.38%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.751.751.8359.52%56.99%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 45.58%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 54.42%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.84. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.83, com valor esperado de -0.406%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.642%E -0.295%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 18:05
DraftKings🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.55%E -0.719%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.04%E -1.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 15:25
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.55%E -0.719%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.58%E -1.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 15:05
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.55%E -0.719%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.58%E -1.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.01%E -0.935%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.04%E -1.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 15:04
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.01%E -0.935%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.01%E -0.935%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.01%E -0.935%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.58%E -1.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.58%E -1.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 18:05
BetAnything🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 17:34
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.92%E -1.37%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.49%E -0.826%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 18:04
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.406%E -0.222%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 15:55
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:50
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:55
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:55
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.38%E -1.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:04
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.406%E -0.222%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 15:19
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 15:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 15:23
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 15:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:15
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:54
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 15:04
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 15:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.29%E -2.04%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:55
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 15:25
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:55
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.66%E -2.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 18:04
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.66%E -2.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 15:20
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.66%E -2.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:15
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.30%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:45
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.39%E -3.72%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 17:59
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.57%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.48%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.02%E -3.44%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -7.02%E -3.44%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.04%E -1.13%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 17:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.85%E -4.42%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.67%E -2.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 14:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-09 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-09 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-09 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-09 18:05
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-09 18:05
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-08-09 18:05
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-09 18:00
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-09 16:55
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-08-09 18:05
BetOpenly◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-08-09 18:05