默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-09 18:10 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago White Sox (主队)

预测 51.13%1.96公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -1.23%
Kelly -2.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.19%51.07%53.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.791.861.861.9155.87%53.82%53.76%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Guardians (客队)

预测 48.87%2.05公平赔率
EV +1.17%
优势 +0.566%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 2.07

博彩公司预测分布
46.75%48.81%48.93%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.881.951.942.0753.19%51.31%51.55%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Chicago White Sox (主队):51.13%;Cleveland Guardians (客队):48.87%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.05。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.07,由此产生+1.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV +1.17%E +0.566%K +1.09%G +0.013%2.1%2026-08-08 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.193%E +0.094%K +0.184%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 19:33
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.27%E -0.630%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.27%E -0.630%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.76%E -0.877%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 19:33
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.21%E -2.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:09
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:09
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:09
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.69%E -2.41%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:09
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.35%E -1.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:09
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.22%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:08
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.44%E -3.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.42%E -2.93%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -8.49%E -4.74%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 19:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-08 19:20
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-08 19:35
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-08-08 19:55
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%9.9%2026-08-08 19:10