Language:English
Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago White Sox (Local)
Prediction 45.88%2.18fair odd
EV -0.434%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.371%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.88%45.89%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.082.1750.00%48.03%48.08%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 54.12%1.85fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%54.12%54.11%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8258.48%56.60%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 45.88%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 54.12%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -0.434%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%EV -0.434%E -0.200%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 20:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.893%E -0.413%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.81%E -0.846%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.05%E -1.13%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.81%E -0.846%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.73%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.73%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.19%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.19%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 20:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 23:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 20:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.40%E -3.14%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.40%E -3.14%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.23%E -4.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.23%E -4.12%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |