Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-08-08 23:16 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 6–3 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 45.88%2.18odd justa
EV -0.434%
Vantagem -0.200%
Kelly -0.371%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%45.88%45.89%47.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.082.082.1750.00%48.03%48.08%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 54.12%1.85odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.828%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.88%54.12%54.11%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.711.771.771.8258.48%56.60%56.50%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 45.88%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 54.12%. Para Chicago White Sox (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.17, com valor esperado de -0.434%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%EV -0.434%E -0.200%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-08 20:03
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.893%E -0.413%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.13%E -1.75%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 20:05
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 22:20
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 23:04
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.35%E -0.629%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 20:05
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.81%E -0.846%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.05%E -1.13%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 23:14
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.81%E -0.846%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 22:45
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.73%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.73%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.19%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.19%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.51%E -0.828%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 23:14
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 23:15
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 20:29
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 20:30
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 16:34
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:04
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 03:05
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 23:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 20:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 20:29
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.56%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 23:14
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 20:30
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 20:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 20:29
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 20:29
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 20:29
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:29
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.48%E -2.66%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 22:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 23:14
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 23:14
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:14
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:05
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 23:04
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.30%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 20:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 23:14
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 23:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.40%E -3.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.40%E -3.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 23:15
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.23%E -4.12%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 20:05
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.23%E -4.12%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 20:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62%0.3%2026-08-08 23:14
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-08 23:05
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-08 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-08 23:10
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-08 23:15
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-08 21:30
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-08-08 23:10
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-08-08 23:05