Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-08 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 46.28%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.956%
Ventaja -0.447%
Kelly -0.839%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.85%46.21%46.23%47.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.082.092.1450.51%48.06%47.85%46.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 53.72%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.630%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.22%53.79%53.77%55.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.761.8459.88%56.60%56.82%54.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Chicago White Sox (Local): 46.28%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 53.72%. Para Chicago White Sox (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.16. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.14, con un valor esperado de -0.956%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -0.956%E -0.447%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.99%E -3.43%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.956%E -0.447%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.956%E -0.447%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.956%E -0.447%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.956%E -0.447%K -0.839%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:35
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.42%E -0.666%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:35
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:35
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:35
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.88%E -0.888%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 00:35
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.70%E -0.927%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 02:39
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.70%E -0.927%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 21:05
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.70%E -0.927%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 02:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.70%E -0.927%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 23:25
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:50
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 02:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:15
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:35
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.16%E -0.630%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 20:14
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.70%E -0.927%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.16%E -0.630%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.16%E -0.630%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 19:55
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:55
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:15
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.20%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:54
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 02:20
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:55
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.99%E -3.43%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 19:54
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.29%E -6.16%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.58%E -2.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 02:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.58%E -2.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.99%E -3.43%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:55
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.05%E -2.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:20
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.05%E -2.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.51%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:55
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.51%E -3.22%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.70%E -0.927%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -8.36%E -4.22%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-08 02:30
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-08-08 02:35
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-07 18:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-08 02:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-08-08 02:40
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%9.1%2026-08-07 21:20