A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-03-26 18:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 64.81%1.54odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.975%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.64%64.86%64.80%66.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.471.5271.43%68.34%68.03%65.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 35.19%2.84odd justa
EV +0.278%
Vantagem +0.098%
Kelly +0.150%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.41%35.14%35.20%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.742.752.8540.82%36.50%36.36%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:49
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.48%E -0.529%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:24
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.529%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 17:50
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -2.19%E -0.786%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 18:09
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.48%E -0.975%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-26 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:50
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:49
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 16:20
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 16:20
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 16:20
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:24
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:20
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 16:19
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:09
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:19
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 16:45
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.59%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 16:19
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.94%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:24
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:15
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 18:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 17:58
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:19
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:14
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 16:20
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 17:05
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.35%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:20
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 16:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 16:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 16:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 18:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.07%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.93%0.4%2026-03-26 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:14
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 17:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-26 18:10
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-26 18:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-26 18:15
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%2.0%2026-03-26 18:00