La escuela de los momios

Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-03-26 18:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 64.81%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.975%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.64%64.86%64.80%66.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.471.5271.43%68.34%68.03%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 35.19%2.84momio equitativo
EV +0.278%
Ventaja +0.098%
Kelly +0.150%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%35.14%35.20%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.742.752.8540.82%36.50%36.36%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:49
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.48%E -0.529%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:24
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.529%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 17:50
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -2.19%E -0.786%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 18:09
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.48%E -0.975%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-26 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:50
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:49
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 16:20
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 16:20
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 16:20
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:24
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:20
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 16:19
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:09
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:19
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 16:45
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.59%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 16:19
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.94%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:24
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:15
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 18:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 17:58
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:19
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:14
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 16:20
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 17:05
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.35%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:20
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 16:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 16:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 16:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 18:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.07%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.93%0.4%2026-03-26 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:14
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 17:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-26 18:10
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-26 18:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-26 18:15
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%2.0%2026-03-26 18:00