L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 18:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 64.81%1.54cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.975%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.64%64.86%64.80%66.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.471.5271.43%68.34%68.03%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.19%2.84cote équitable
EV +0.278%
Avantage +0.098%
Kelly +0.150%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.41%35.14%35.20%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.742.752.8540.82%36.50%36.36%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:49
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.48%E -0.529%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:24
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.529%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 17:50
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -2.19%E -0.786%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 18:09
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.48%E -0.975%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-26 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:50
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:49
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 16:20
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 16:20
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 16:20
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:24
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:20
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 16:19
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:09
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:19
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 16:45
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.59%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 16:19
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.94%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:24
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:15
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 18:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 17:58
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:19
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:14
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 16:20
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 17:05
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.35%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:20
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 16:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 16:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 16:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.07%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.93%0.4%2026-03-26 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:14
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 17:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-26 18:10
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-26 18:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-26 18:15
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%2.0%2026-03-26 18:00