مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-03-26 18:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.81%1.54السعر العادل
EV -1.48%
الأفضلية -0.975%
Kelly -2.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.64%64.86%64.80%66.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.461.471.5271.43%68.34%68.03%65.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.19%2.84السعر العادل
EV +0.278%
الأفضلية +0.098%
Kelly +0.150%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.41%35.14%35.20%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.452.742.752.8540.82%36.50%36.36%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:49
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 18:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.12%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.278%E +0.098%K +0.150%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.48%E -0.529%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:24
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.529%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 17:50
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -2.19%E -0.786%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 18:09
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.48%E -0.975%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-26 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:50
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:49
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 17:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 16:20
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 16:20
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 16:20
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:24
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 16:20
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 16:19
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:09
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:19
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 16:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 16:45
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.59%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 16:19
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.94%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:24
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 18:15
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 18:15
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 17:58
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:19
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 16:20
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:14
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 16:20
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 17:05
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.35%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 16:20
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:04
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 16:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 16:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 16:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 18:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 65.07%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.93%0.4%2026-03-26 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-03-26 18:14
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 17:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-26 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-26 18:10
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-26 18:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-03-26 18:15
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%2.0%2026-03-26 18:00