The School of Odds

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-07-05 18:30 — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis)

Option 1: Chicago Cubs (Local)

1.6062.50%Min
1.6660.39%Mean
1.6560.61%Median
1.7258.14%Max
56.41%1.773Min
58.97%1.696Max
57.79%1.730Mean
57.69%1.733Median
57.77%1.731IQM
57.75%1.732Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.72 under the IQM model: 57.77%

EV -0.627%Edge -0.365%Kelly -0.871%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

2.2045.45%Min
2.2744.15%Mean
2.2544.44%Median
2.3442.74%Max
41.03%2.438Min
43.59%2.294Max
42.21%2.369Mean
42.31%2.364Median
42.23%2.368IQM
42.25%2.367Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.34 under the IQM model: 42.23%

EV -1.19%Edge -0.510%Kelly -0.890%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerChicago Cubs (Local) ▼St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14% NM 57.00%EV -0.627% E -0.365% K -0.871% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 43.00%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -1.78% E -1.05% K -2.55% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -7.10% E -3.23% K -5.92% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 05:00
1xBet1.69I 59.17% NM 57.96%EV -2.36% E -1.40% K -3.42% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 42.04%EV -1.62% E -0.693% K -1.21% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 02:35
Everygame1.69I 59.17% NM 57.96%EV -2.36% E -1.40% K -3.42% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 42.04%EV -1.62% E -0.693% K -1.21% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 05:20
BetUS1.69I 59.17% NM 57.64%EV -2.36% E -1.40% K -3.42% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.36%EV -2.88% E -1.25% K -2.22% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 13:40
GTbets1.68I 59.52% NM 58.21%EV -2.94% E -1.75% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.34I 42.74% NM 41.79%EV -1.19% E -0.510% K -0.890% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52% NM 58.00%EV -2.94% E -1.75% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 42.00%EV -2.04% E -0.878% K -1.54% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 14:10
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52% NM 58.00%EV -2.94% E -1.75% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 42.00%EV -2.04% E -0.878% K -1.54% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 14:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52% NM 57.89%EV -2.94% E -1.75% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 42.11%EV -2.46% E -1.06% K -1.88% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-05 12:55
TAB1.68I 59.52% NM 57.25%EV -2.94% E -1.75% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.75%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 06:33
FanDuel1.68I 59.52% NM 57.14%EV -2.94% E -1.75% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.86%EV -5.42% E -2.42% K -4.37% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 22:24
Bovada1.68I 59.52% NM 57.14%EV -2.94% E -1.75% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.86%EV -5.42% E -2.42% K -4.37% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 14:14
PlayUp1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -2.94% E -1.75% K -4.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -7.10% E -3.23% K -5.92% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 14:00
ReBet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -2.88% E -1.25% K -2.22% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 12:34
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -2.88% E -1.25% K -2.22% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 02:30
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -2.88% E -1.25% K -2.22% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 07:10
Betway1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 14:14
BetMGM1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 14:15
Coral1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 14:14
Fanatics1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 11:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:54
SportsBet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.07%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.93%EV -6.26% E -2.82% K -5.13% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 06:34
William Hill1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -7.10% E -3.23% K -5.92% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.52% E -2.11% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -7.10% E -3.23% K -5.92% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:33
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24% NM 57.97%EV -4.09% E -2.47% K -6.20% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 42.03%EV -3.30% E -1.44% K -2.56% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 14:10
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -4.09% E -2.47% K -6.20% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 12:00
NordicBet1.66I 60.24% NM 57.22%EV -4.09% E -2.47% K -6.20% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.78%EV -6.26% E -2.82% K -5.13% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 06:35
Betsson1.66I 60.24% NM 57.22%EV -4.09% E -2.47% K -6.20% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.78%EV -6.26% E -2.82% K -5.13% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 06:34
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61% NM 58.44%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.56%EV -2.04% E -0.878% K -1.54% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 13:05
Caesars1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -2.88% E -1.25% K -2.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 00:24
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -2.88% E -1.25% K -2.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -2.88% E -1.25% K -2.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 13:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61% NM 58.02%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.98%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:00
Bet Right1.65I 60.61% NM 57.80%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 42.20%EV -4.57% E -2.02% K -3.63% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 00:25
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 14:00
888sport1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:25
Fliff1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 04:35
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:25
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:50
Neds1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:49
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 04:20
Coolbet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.67% E -2.83% K -7.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 05:09
Casumo1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 13:04
Unibet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 13:05
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 13:05
betPARX1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 13:04
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 13:05
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 57.95%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 42.05%EV -4.57% E -2.02% K -3.63% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:00
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:25
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.62%EV -5.25% E -3.20% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.38%EV -5.84% E -2.62% K -4.75% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 14:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -5.83% E -3.57% K -9.25% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:04
TABtouch1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -5.83% E -3.57% K -9.25% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:05
BetRivers1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -5.83% E -3.57% K -9.25% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -5.83% E -3.57% K -9.25% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -3.73% E -1.63% K -2.91% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.40% E -3.95% K -10.33% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -6.40% E -3.95% K -10.33% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -7.10% E -3.23% K -5.92% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 14:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -6.98% E -4.34% K -11.45% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 01:03
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -7.56% E -4.73% K -12.60% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -2.88% E -1.25% K -2.22% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 05:35
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50% NM 58.44%EV -7.56% E -4.73% K -12.60% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.56%EV -4.99% E -2.22% K -3.99% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerChicago Cubs (Local)St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Novig1.72I 58.14%2.35I 42.55%0.7%2026-07-05 14:15
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%2.34I 42.74%0.9%2026-07-05 13:45
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%2.34I 42.74%0.9%2026-07-05 14:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%2.32I 43.10%0.9%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%2.32I 43.10%0.9%2026-07-05 14:15
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%2.33I 42.92%1.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%2.32I 43.10%1.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%2.30I 43.48%1.6%2026-07-05 14:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%2.30I 43.48%1.6%2026-07-05 14:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%2.33I 42.92%2.1%2026-07-05 14:10