La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals

Inizio: 2026-07-05 18:35 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 6–4 St. Louis Cardinals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 56.21%1.78quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.931%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.26%56.28%56.27%57.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.31%59.52%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.79%2.28quota equa
EV +0.713%
Vantaggio +0.310%
Kelly +0.548%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.13%43.72%43.73%44.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.40%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.713%E +0.310%K +0.548%G +0.004%3.0%2026-07-05 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.163%E -0.072%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 18:24
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.163%E -0.072%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 18:25
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 18:00
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 18:15
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 18:15
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:24
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:25
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:25
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:25
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:20
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:25
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:25
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:24
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.63%E -0.931%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 18:15
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 18:10
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:00
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.63%E -0.931%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 18:00
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 17:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:29
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 18:00
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 18:05
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:05
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:04
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 18:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 18:10
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:09
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:09
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 15:25
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 18:25
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 18:30
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 18:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:05
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:04
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:09
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:10
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 18:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 18:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 18:04
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.61%E -3.61%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 18:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 18:24
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-07-05 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-05 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-05 18:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-05 18:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-05 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-05 18:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-05 18:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-07-05 18:25
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-07-05 18:30
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-07-05 18:30