La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 56.21%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.931%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%56.28%56.27%57.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.31%59.52%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)
Predicción 43.79%2.28momio equitativo
EV +0.713%
Ventaja +0.310%
Kelly +0.548%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.13%43.72%43.73%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.40%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.713%E +0.310%K +0.548%G +0.004% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.163%E -0.072%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.163%E -0.072%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:24 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 18:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.63%E -0.931%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.69%E -4.03%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.63%E -0.931%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 17:59 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 18:29 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.79%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 18:00 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 18:00 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 15:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.94%E -5.52%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 18:05 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 18:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.86%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.61%E -3.61%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 18:10 |
| BetOpenly | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 18:30 |