Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-05 19:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 3–18 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 59.47%1.68fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.54%59.48%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.591.6665.79%62.89%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 40.53%2.47fair odd
EV -0.697%
Edge -0.285%
Kelly -0.481%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%40.46%40.52%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.4544.44%42.36%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.47%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 40.53%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.697%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.28%E -0.773%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 18:39
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 19:10
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 19:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.07%E -1.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.07%E -1.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 18:59
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.697%E -0.285%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:09
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:10
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.51%E -0.621%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 19:10
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-05 19:20
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 18:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.32%E -0.962%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 18:29
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:29
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:28
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 19:09
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -8.42%E -5.47%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.01%E -5.89%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -9.01%E -5.89%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -7.59%E -3.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.61%E -6.32%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-06-05 19:20
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-05 19:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-05 19:10
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%5.3%2026-06-05 19:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%6.0%2026-06-05 19:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%10.0%2026-06-05 19:19