La escuela de los momios

Chicago Cubs v San Francisco Giants

Inicio: 2026-06-05 19:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 3–18 San Francisco Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 59.47%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.773%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.23%59.54%59.48%60.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.591.591.6665.79%62.89%62.89%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 40.53%2.47momio equitativo
EV -0.697%
Ventaja -0.285%
Kelly -0.481%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.13%40.46%40.52%41.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.362.352.4544.44%42.36%42.55%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.28%E -0.773%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 18:39
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 19:10
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 19:10
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 19:10
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 19:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 19:00
BetAnything1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.07%E -1.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 19:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.07%E -1.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 18:59
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.697%E -0.285%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 18:30
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 19:09
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:09
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 18:40
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:10
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.51%E -0.621%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 18:29
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 19:10
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 19:20
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 19:20
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-05 19:20
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 19:19
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 18:39
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 19:19
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.32%E -0.962%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 18:29
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:29
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:28
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 19:09
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 19:20
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 19:20
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 19:09
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -8.42%E -5.47%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 19:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.01%E -5.89%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -9.01%E -5.89%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -7.59%E -3.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.61%E -6.32%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-06-05 19:20
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-05 19:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-05 19:10
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%5.3%2026-06-05 19:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%6.0%2026-06-05 19:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%10.0%2026-06-05 19:19