Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-05 19:21 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 3–18 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 59.47%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.773%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.23%59.54%59.48%60.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.591.591.6665.79%62.89%62.89%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.53%2.47cote équitable
EV -0.697%
Avantage -0.285%
Kelly -0.481%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.13%40.46%40.52%41.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.362.352.4544.44%42.36%42.55%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 59.47% ; San Francisco Giants (Visiteur) : 40.53%. Pour San Francisco Giants (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.47. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.45, pour une espérance de -0.697% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.28%E -0.773%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 18:39
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 19:10
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 19:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.07%E -1.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.07%E -1.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 18:59
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.697%E -0.285%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:09
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 19:10
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.51%E -0.621%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 19:10
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.45%E -3.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-05 19:20
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.91%E -0.791%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 18:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.32%E -0.962%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 18:29
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:29
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.72%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 18:28
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.23%E -4.63%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-05 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.82%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 19:09
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -8.42%E -5.47%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -5.97%E -2.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.01%E -5.89%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.53%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-05 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.84%EV -9.01%E -5.89%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -7.59%E -3.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.61%E -6.32%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-05 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-06-05 19:20
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-06-05 19:20
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-05 19:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-05 19:10
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%5.3%2026-06-05 19:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%6.0%2026-06-05 19:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%10.0%2026-06-05 19:19