A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-07-01 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 23–3 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 53.78%1.86odd justa
EV +0.565%
Vantagem +0.302%
Kelly +0.649%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%53.92%54.00%58.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.771.791.8762.11%56.44%56.02%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 46.22%2.16odd justa
EV +4.46%
Vantagem +1.97%
Kelly +3.54%
Crescimento +0.158%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.60%46.08%46.00%48.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.942.052.052.2651.55%48.88%48.78%44.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -13.42%E -8.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV +4.46%E +1.97%K +3.54%G +0.158%6.4%2026-07-01 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 16:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 18:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 18:20
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 18:20
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 18:10
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 18:19
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 18:19
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +0.565%E +0.302%K +0.649%G +0.004%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 18:19
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 17:40
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 18:20
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 17:50
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 18:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 12:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 05:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 16:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:19
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 18:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 16:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 18:19
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.17%E -3.04%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:20
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:00
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:00
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:00
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:10
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 16:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 18:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -7.09%E -3.53%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 18:19
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 17:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-01 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.73%E -6.46%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-01 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.02%E -4.03%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.565%E +0.302%K +0.649%G +0.004%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 18:18
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -10.33%E -5.32%K -10.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-01 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-01 18:20
Polymarket1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%0.9%2026-07-01 18:20
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-01 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-01 17:40
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-01 18:20
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%3.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%4.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%8.8%2026-07-01 18:20