Die Schule der Quoten

Chicago Cubs v San Diego Padres

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-01 18:21 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 23–3 San Diego Padres

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 53.78%1.86faire Quote
EV +0.565%
Vorteil +0.302%
Kelly +0.649%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.87

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.05%53.92%54.00%58.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.611.771.791.8762.11%56.44%56.02%53.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

San Diego Padres (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.22%2.16faire Quote
EV +4.46%
Vorteil +1.97%
Kelly +3.54%
Wachstum +0.158%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.60%46.08%46.00%48.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.942.052.052.2651.55%48.88%48.78%44.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -13.42%E -8.33%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV +4.46%E +1.97%K +3.54%G +0.158%6.4%2026-07-01 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 16:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 18:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 18:20
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 18:20
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 18:10
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 18:19
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 18:19
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +0.565%E +0.302%K +0.649%G +0.004%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 18:19
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 17:40
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 18:20
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 17:50
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 18:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 12:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 05:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 16:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 18:19
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 18:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 16:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 18:19
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.17%E -3.04%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:20
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:00
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:00
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 18:00
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:10
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 16:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 18:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -7.09%E -3.53%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 18:19
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 17:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 18:20
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-01 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.73%E -6.46%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-01 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.02%E -4.03%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.565%E +0.302%K +0.649%G +0.004%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 18:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 18:18
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -10.33%E -5.32%K -10.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-01 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-01 18:20
Polymarket1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%0.9%2026-07-01 18:20
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-01 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-01 17:40
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-01 18:20
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%3.3%2026-07-01 18:20
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%4.6%2026-07-01 18:20
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%8.8%2026-07-01 18:20