L’École des cotesFrançais
Chicago Cubs v San Diego Padres
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prévision 53.78%1.86cote équitable
EV +0.565%
Avantage +0.302%
Kelly +0.649%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%53.92%54.00%58.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.771.791.8762.11%56.44%56.02%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
San Diego Padres (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.22%2.16cote équitable
EV +4.46%
Avantage +1.97%
Kelly +3.54%
Croissance +0.158%
avec la cote maximale 2.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.60%46.08%46.00%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.052.052.2651.55%48.88%48.78%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -13.42%E -8.33%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV +4.46%E +1.97%K +3.54%G +0.158% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-01 18:10 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +0.565%E +0.302%K +0.649%G +0.004% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV +0.027%E +0.014%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -0.511%E -0.276%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| ReBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 05:29 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:10 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 16:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.17%E -3.04%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 18:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 15:10 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 16:40 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -7.09%E -3.53%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.73%E -6.46%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.02%E -4.03%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.565%E +0.302%K +0.649%G +0.004% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 18:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -10.33%E -5.32%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-01 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 18:20 |