Language:English
Chicago Cubs v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 57.88%1.73fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.939%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.93%57.93%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.641.7062.50%60.79%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 42.12%2.37fair odd
EV -0.187%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.137%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%42.07%42.07%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.3747.62%43.79%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 57.88%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 42.12%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.374. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.370, with an expected value of -0.187%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.60%E -0.939%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.60%E -0.939%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.17%E -1.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.87%E -0.803%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.17%E -1.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.45%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.87%E -0.803%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 23:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 03:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.98%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 19:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 06:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.66%E -2.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.187%E -0.079%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.187%E -0.079%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.77%E -3.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 23:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |