La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-07-01 00:06 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 9–7 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 57.88%1.73quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.939%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.84%57.93%57.93%59.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.651.641.7062.50%60.79%60.98%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.12%2.37quota equa
EV -0.187%
Vantaggio -0.079%
Kelly -0.137%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.45%42.07%42.07%44.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.282.302.3747.62%43.79%43.48%42.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.60%E -0.939%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 21:59
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.60%E -0.939%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 23:59
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.17%E -1.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.87%E -0.803%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 22:39
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.17%E -1.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 22:39
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.45%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 23:30
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.87%E -0.803%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 23:30
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 23:29
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 23:29
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 23:48
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 03:09
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 18:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 20:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 23:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 23:49
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:19
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:29
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 23:49
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 23:49
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 22:49
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 23:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 18:39
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.98%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 19:38
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 18:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 06:20
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 18:30
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.66%E -2.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 21:59
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:49
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:09
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:30
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:59
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:50
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:49
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:49
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:49
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:49
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:49
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 00:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 21:59
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 21:59
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:49
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:50
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:49
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 01:49
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.187%E -0.079%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.187%E -0.079%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 21:59
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.77%E -3.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 23:19
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 22:29
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 22:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-01 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-01 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-01 00:00
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-07-01 00:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-01 00:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-30 21:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-06-30 23:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-07-01 00:00
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-30 23:29
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-07-01 00:00