La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 57.88%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.939%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.93%57.93%59.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.641.7062.50%60.79%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.187%
Ventaja -0.079%
Kelly -0.137%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.45%42.07%42.07%44.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.302.3747.62%43.79%43.48%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.60%E -0.939%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.60%E -0.939%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.17%E -1.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.87%E -0.803%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.17%E -1.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.45%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.87%E -0.803%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 23:48 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 03:09 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 23:49 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -2.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 17:29 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.98%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 19:38 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 06:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.66%E -2.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.29%E -0.988%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 13:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Casumo | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.03%E -0.438%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.23%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.187%E -0.079%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 22:00 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.187%E -0.079%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.81%E -4.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.77%E -3.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 23:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.38%E -4.62%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Novig | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| BetOpenly | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |