L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 23:41 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 7–4 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 53.78%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%53.72%53.82%55.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.761.8359.88%56.77%56.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.22%2.16cote équitable
EV -0.156%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.134%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%46.28%46.18%47.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.072.072.1652.63%48.35%48.31%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.59%E -0.869%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 23:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.869%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.13%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:40
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 20:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 23:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 23:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 23:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 18:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 23:40
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.156%E -0.072%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 22:50
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:50
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.08%E -0.505%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.08%E -0.505%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:50
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 22:59
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:40
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 16:10
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 23:39
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 22:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 16:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 16:08
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 17:29
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 19:05
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 19:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:35
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 23:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 21:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 23:33
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:35
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.51%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -12.17%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 23:40
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:05
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 23:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.66%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-21 21:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-21 20:25
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-21 23:39
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-04-21 23:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-04-21 23:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.05%9.7%2026-04-21 23:40
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 52.92%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.08%11.8%2026-04-21 23:40