مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-04-21 23:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 7–4 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.78%1.86السعر العادل
EV -1.59%
الأفضلية -0.869%
Kelly -1.92%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.36%53.72%53.82%55.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.761.761.8359.88%56.77%56.82%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.22%2.16السعر العادل
EV -0.156%
الأفضلية -0.072%
Kelly -0.134%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.74%46.28%46.18%47.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.072.072.1652.63%48.35%48.31%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.59%E -0.869%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 23:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.869%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.13%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:40
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 20:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 23:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 23:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 23:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 18:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 23:40
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.156%E -0.072%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 22:50
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:50
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.08%E -0.505%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.08%E -0.505%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:50
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 22:59
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:40
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 16:10
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 23:39
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 22:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 16:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 16:08
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 17:29
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 19:05
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 19:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:35
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 23:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 21:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 23:33
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:35
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.51%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -12.17%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 23:40
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:05
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 23:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.66%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 23:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-21 21:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-21 20:25
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-21 23:39
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-04-21 23:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-04-21 23:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.05%9.7%2026-04-21 23:40
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 52.92%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.08%11.8%2026-04-21 23:40