Die Schule der Quoten

Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-21 23:41 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 7–4 Philadelphia Phillies

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 53.78%1.86faire Quote
EV -1.59%
Vorteil -0.869%
Kelly -1.92%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.36%53.72%53.82%55.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.671.761.761.8359.88%56.77%56.82%54.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.22%2.16faire Quote
EV -0.156%
Vorteil -0.072%
Kelly -0.134%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.74%46.28%46.18%47.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.902.072.072.1652.63%48.35%48.31%46.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.59%E -0.869%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 23:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.869%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.13%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:40
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 20:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 23:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 23:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 23:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 18:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 23:40
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.156%E -0.072%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 22:50
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:50
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.08%E -0.505%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.08%E -0.505%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:50
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 22:59
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:40
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 16:10
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 23:39
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 22:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 16:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 16:08
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 17:29
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 19:05
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 19:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:35
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 20:45
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 23:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 21:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 23:33
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:35
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 22:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.51%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -12.17%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 23:40
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:05
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 23:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.66%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 23:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-21 21:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-21 20:25
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-21 23:39
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-04-21 23:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-04-21 23:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.05%9.7%2026-04-21 23:40
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 52.92%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.08%11.8%2026-04-21 23:40