La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 53.78%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.869%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%53.72%53.82%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.761.8359.88%56.77%56.82%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 46.22%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.156%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.134%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.28%46.18%47.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.072.072.1652.63%48.35%48.31%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.59%E -0.869%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.869%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.13%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 20:40 |
| ReBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 23:39 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.156%E -0.072%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-21 22:50 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-21 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.08%E -0.505%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.08%E -0.505%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 22:50 |
| Bovada | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.618%E -0.288%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 16:08 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 17:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.82%E -2.72%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 20:45 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 20:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 16:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 21:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 23:33 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.00%E -0.946%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.43%E -3.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.55%E -3.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.97%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.51%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -12.17%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.85%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.93%E -1.39%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.66%E -5.75%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -5.70%E -2.80%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 21:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 20:25 |
| BetOpenly | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 23:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.7% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.05% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.92% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.08% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |