Language:English
Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 49.12%2.04fair odd
EV +0.688%
Edge +0.336%
Kelly +0.655%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%49.21%48.95%50.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0553.48%51.35%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 50.88%1.97fair odd
EV -0.776%
Edge -0.398%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.35%50.79%51.05%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.861.851.9556.50%53.85%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 49.12%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 50.88%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.688%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.688%E +0.336%K +0.655%G +0.005% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.688%E +0.336%K +0.655%G +0.005% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.94%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.294%E -0.145%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.26%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.26%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 18:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.75%E -1.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.90%E -4.36%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -8.92%E -4.98%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.776%E -0.398%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51%EV -9.94%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 0.1% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |