A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-04-23 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 8–7 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 49.12%2.04odd justa
EV +0.688%
Vantagem +0.336%
Kelly +0.655%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%49.21%48.95%50.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.871.951.952.0553.48%51.35%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 50.88%1.97odd justa
EV -0.776%
Vantagem -0.398%
Kelly -0.817%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.35%50.79%51.05%53.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.771.861.851.9556.50%53.85%54.05%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.688%E +0.336%K +0.655%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:09
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.688%E +0.336%K +0.655%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.94%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:14
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.294%E -0.145%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-23 18:15
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 18:14
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:44
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:45
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:44
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:59
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 17:34
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:59
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.26%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.26%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:11
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.75%E -1.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 17:24
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:49
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:45
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:44
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:49
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:49
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:49
MyBookie.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 18:10
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:04
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:04
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:19
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:44
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:24
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:24
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:10
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:18
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:19
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:10
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.90%E -4.36%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:19
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:19
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -8.92%E -4.98%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 17:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 17:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 17:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:05
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:44
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.776%E -0.398%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:20
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:19
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51%EV -9.94%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 18:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-04-23 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-04-23 18:20
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-23 18:04
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-23 18:19
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-23 18:04
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-23 18:20
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%2.7%2026-04-23 18:19
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%3.1%2026-04-23 18:20