La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 49.12%2.04momio equitativo
EV +0.688%
Ventaja +0.336%
Kelly +0.655%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%49.21%48.95%50.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.951.952.0553.48%51.35%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 50.88%1.97momio equitativo
EV -0.776%
Ventaja -0.398%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.35%50.79%51.05%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.861.851.9556.50%53.85%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.688%E +0.336%K +0.655%G +0.005% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.688%E +0.336%K +0.655%G +0.005% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.94%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.294%E -0.145%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:59 |
| BetUS | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.26%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.26%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 18:11 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.75%E -1.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:18 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.90%E -4.36%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -8.92%E -4.98%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.776%E -0.398%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51%EV -9.94%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 0.1% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| ProphetX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |