Language:English
Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 59.75%1.67fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%59.71%59.85%61.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6465.36%62.65%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 40.25%2.48fair odd
EV +0.620%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.71%40.29%40.15%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.372.382.5044.84%42.26%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.75%; New York Yankees (Visit): 40.25%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.620%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.620%E +0.248%K +0.413%G +0.003% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.185%E -0.075%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.185%E -0.075%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 18:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 17:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 17:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 17:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 17:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.01%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 17:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 05:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:12 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.25%E -4.60%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 17:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
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