Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

Inizio: 2026-07-31 18:21 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 0–2 New York Yankees

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 59.75%1.67quota equa
EV -2.01%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.44%59.71%59.85%61.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.601.601.6465.36%62.65%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

New York Yankees (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.25%2.48quota equa
EV +0.620%
Vantaggio +0.248%
Kelly +0.413%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.71%40.29%40.15%41.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.372.382.5044.84%42.26%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chicago Cubs (Casa): 59.75%; New York Yankees (Trasferta): 40.25%. Per New York Yankees (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.48. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.620%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.620%E +0.248%K +0.413%G +0.003%1.7%2026-07-31 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.185%E -0.075%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:40
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.185%E -0.075%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-31 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-31 18:15
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:18
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 18:10
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 18:14
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 18:15
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 18:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 18:14
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:18
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:45
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 17:29
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 15:44
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 17:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 18:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 17:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 18:20
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 17:39
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.01%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 16:25
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 17:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 17:29
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:49
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 17:59
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:04
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:00
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 05:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 14:24
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 18:20
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 18:12
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 18:19
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.25%E -4.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-31 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-31 18:15
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-31 17:34
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-07-31 18:20
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-07-31 18:10
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-07-31 18:20
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-31 18:20
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-07-31 18:15