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Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 59.75%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%59.71%59.85%61.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6465.36%62.65%62.50%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Yankees (Visitante)
Predicción 40.25%2.48momio equitativo
EV +0.620%
Ventaja +0.248%
Kelly +0.413%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.71%40.29%40.15%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.372.382.5044.84%42.26%42.02%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.75%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 40.25%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.620%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.620%E +0.248%K +0.413%G +0.003% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.185%E -0.075%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.185%E -0.075%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -0.588%E -0.238%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.60%E -1.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 18:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.00%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 17:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 17:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.38%E -4.76%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 17:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.21%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 17:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.01%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 17:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 05:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.20%E -1.98%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.80%E -2.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.99%E -3.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:12 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.19%E -3.94%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-31 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.25%E -4.60%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 17:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-07-31 18:15 |