Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

2026-07-31 18:21 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 57.54%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.943%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.07%57.48%57.59%58.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7162.50%59.87%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 42.46%2.35momio equitativo
EV -0.210%
Ventaja -0.089%
Kelly -0.155%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.54%42.52%42.41%43.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.202.3547.62%45.03%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.61%E -0.943%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 23:50
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.61%E -0.943%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.61%E -0.943%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 23:49
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.61%E -0.943%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 23:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.85%E -3.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.85%E -3.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:50
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.85%E -3.62%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:50
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.06%E -0.455%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 23:55
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.06%E -0.455%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.91%E -0.826%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 23:55
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.91%E -0.826%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 23:54
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 23:55
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-30 23:55
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.73%E -2.58%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 23:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -6.15%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 23:54
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 00:04
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:54
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.210%E -0.089%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 00:29
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 01:55
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.61%E -1.59%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 00:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 00:04
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 00:10
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.73%E -2.58%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:05
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:55
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:04
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:20
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:19
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:55
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:20
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:19
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:19
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:05
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:53
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 00:05
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 00:05
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 00:25
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.73%E -2.58%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:04
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.64%E -3.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.83%E -5.16%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 23:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 00:24
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 00:25
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.37%E -4.58%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 00:03
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.37%E -4.58%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 00:03
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-31 01:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-31 00:15
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-30 23:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%3.7%2026-07-31 00:20
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%4.5%2026-07-31 01:45
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%9.2%2026-07-31 01:50