Language:English
Chicago Cubs v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 58.17%1.72fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.22%58.19%58.23%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.641.6962.50%61.07%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 41.83%2.39fair odd
EV -0.866%
Edge -0.365%
Kelly -0.632%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%41.81%41.77%42.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.3745.45%43.56%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 58.17%; New York Mets (Visit): 41.83%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -0.866%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.69%E -1.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 17:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.69%E -1.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.866%E -0.365%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 17:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 18:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 17:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 16:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 17:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.47%E -2.42%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 15:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 17:39 |