Die Schule der Quoten

Chicago Cubs v New York Mets

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-17 18:21 UTC

Endstand: Chicago Cubs 12–4 New York Mets

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 58.17%1.72faire Quote
EV -1.69%
Vorteil -1.00%
Kelly -2.45%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.22%58.19%58.23%59.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.601.641.641.6962.50%61.07%60.98%59.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

New York Mets (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.83%2.39faire Quote
EV -0.866%
Vorteil -0.365%
Kelly -0.632%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.51%41.81%41.77%42.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.302.302.3745.45%43.56%43.48%42.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.69%E -1.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 17:29
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.69%E -1.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 17:55
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 16:54
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.866%E -0.365%K -0.632%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 18:04
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 18:04
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 18:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-17 17:49
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 15:49
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 18:08
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 16:49
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 16:49
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -2.85%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -6.30%E -2.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 15:49
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-17 18:15
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-17 15:39
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:54
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.44%E -2.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:59
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 17:04
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 16:54
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 17:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 18:14
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 16:44
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 16:44
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 18:04
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 17:56
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:04
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.47%E -2.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:49
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 15:29
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:44
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:19
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:19
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:19
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:34
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:34
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:54
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:49
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 15:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:39
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 14:34
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.89%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:53
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.98%E -3.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-17 18:19
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-17 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-17 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-17 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-17 18:19
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-17 15:59
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-04-17 18:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-04-17 18:19
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-04-17 17:39