The School of Odds

Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins

2026-07-18 00:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 55.46%1.80fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.31%55.54%55.37%57.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7861%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 44.54%2.25fair odd
EV -0.683%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.555%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.46%44.63%45.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2349%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.28%E -0.717%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.38%E -1.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-17 00:25
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.683%E -0.306%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-16 22:00
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.57%E -0.712%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-16 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.57%E -0.712%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-16 22:00
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.57%E -0.712%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-16 22:33
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 23:00
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.14%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 01:34
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 02:24
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 23:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 00:00
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 23:00
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 23:24
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 23:25
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 21:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 00:05
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 23:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 23:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 00:10
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 00:54
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 21:10
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:25
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 23:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 23:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 23:00
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 00:05
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.02%E -0.918%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 21:15
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-16 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-16 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-16 22:45
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-16 22:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 22:45
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 22:45
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 22:45
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 22:45
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.35%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 22:45
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:29
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 21:20
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 23:25
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 23:00
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 23:35
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 23:23
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 00:05
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 22:45
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 22:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 21:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 21:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 21:10
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 22:45
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.02%E -0.918%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 02:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-07-17 01:49
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-16 22:15
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.47%1.7%2026-07-17 01:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-17 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-17 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-17 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%5.4%2026-07-17 02:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%6.9%2026-07-17 02:25
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%9.7%2026-07-17 00:20