La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v Minnesota Twins

Inizio: 2026-07-18 00:06 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 2–5 Minnesota Twins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 57.20%1.75quota equa
EV -1.62%
Vantaggio -0.940%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.26%57.09%57.14%58.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.661.651.7263.69%60.37%60.42%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.80%2.34quota equa
EV +0.582%
Vantaggio +0.248%
Kelly +0.431%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.69%42.91%42.86%44.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.232.232.3547.62%44.86%44.84%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.582%E +0.248%K +0.431%G +0.003%2.1%2026-07-17 23:45
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.582%E +0.248%K +0.431%G +0.003%2.1%2026-07-18 00:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.274%E -0.118%K -0.206%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.274%E -0.118%K -0.206%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 23:44
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.56%E -0.678%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 16:39
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.33%E -1.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.56%E -0.678%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-17 21:49
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.56%E -0.678%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 23:44
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.56%E -0.678%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 20:43
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -1.99%E -0.867%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:55
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.62%E -0.940%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 22:54
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:05
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:05
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:05
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.84%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 23:08
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:09
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:04
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:54
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.19%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:09
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.91%E -4.91%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.70%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:05
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:04
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:34
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:05
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:05
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:05
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:05
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.98%E -2.24%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 21:14
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.19%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -4.98%E -2.24%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 00:05
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.41%E -2.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:54
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%EV -5.41%E -2.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:05
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 00:04
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 14:14
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 00:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 21:39
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.91%E -4.91%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.84%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 00:03
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -10.20%E -6.49%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.12%E -3.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.55%E -3.50%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 23:38
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.33%E -1.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 00:05
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 00:05
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.12%E -4.82%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.33%E -1.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.12%E -4.82%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.91%E -2.32%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.12%E -4.82%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 00:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.12%E -4.82%K -9.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.75%-0.2%2026-07-17 23:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-07-18 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-07-18 00:05
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-18 00:05
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-17 22:19
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-07-18 00:05