Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 2–5 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 47.77%2.09fair odd
EV -0.156%
Edge -0.075%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.48%47.75%47.78%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.022.0952.63%49.50%49.50%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 52.23%1.91fair odd
EV -0.245%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.269%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.25%52.22%53.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.811.801.9156.18%55.10%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 47.77%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 52.23%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.093. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.090, with an expected value of -0.156%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
BetAnything🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Everygame🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 23:19
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.11%E -0.537%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:37
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 21:59
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:38
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:59
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:59
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 21:59
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 21:59
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.245%E -0.128%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 22:09
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:29
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 23:09
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:19
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 13:00
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 22:19
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 22:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:09
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.76%E -4.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.23%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 23:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 23:19
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%0.8%2026-05-19 23:39
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 21:59
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-05-19 23:39
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-19 23:39