L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 23:41 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 2–5 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 47.77%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.156%
Avantage -0.075%
Kelly -0.143%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.48%47.75%47.78%48.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.022.022.0952.63%49.50%49.50%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.23%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.245%
Avantage -0.128%
Kelly -0.269%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%52.25%52.22%53.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.811.801.9156.18%55.10%55.56%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Everygame2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 23:19
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.11%E -0.537%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:37
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 21:59
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 21:59
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:38
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:59
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:59
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 22:09
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 21:59
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 21:59
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 22:09
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:29
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 23:39
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.245%E -0.128%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 22:09
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:29
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 23:09
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:19
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 18:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 13:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 02:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:29
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:09
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:29
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 22:19
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 22:19
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:09
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.76%E -4.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:20
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.23%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 23:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 23:19
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%0.8%2026-05-19 23:39
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 21:59
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-05-19 23:39
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-19 23:39