La escuela de los momios

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-05-19 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 2–5 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 47.77%2.09momio equitativo
EV -0.156%
Ventaja -0.075%
Kelly -0.143%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.48%47.75%47.78%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.022.022.0952.63%49.50%49.50%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 52.23%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.245%
Ventaja -0.128%
Kelly -0.269%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%52.25%52.22%53.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.811.801.9156.18%55.10%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Everygame2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.156%E -0.075%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -0.634%E -0.305%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 23:19
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.11%E -0.537%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:37
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.33%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 21:59
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 21:59
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.59%E -0.772%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:38
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:59
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:59
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:09
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 22:09
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 21:59
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 21:59
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 22:09
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:29
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 23:39
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.50%E -1.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.245%E -0.128%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 22:09
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -3.98%E -1.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:29
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 23:09
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 22:19
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 22:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 18:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 13:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.95%E -2.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 23:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 02:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.90%E -2.12%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 23:29
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:09
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:29
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 22:19
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 22:19
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.41%E -2.73%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.51%E -3.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 22:09
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.76%E -4.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.42%E -2.42%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:20
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.23%E -4.86%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 23:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 23:19
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%0.8%2026-05-19 23:39
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 21:59
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-05-19 23:39
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-19 23:39