Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 3–9 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 59.65%1.68fair odd
EV -0.383%
Edge -0.229%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.92%59.49%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.581.601.6767.57%63.11%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 40.35%2.48fair odd
EV +0.872%
Edge +0.349%
Kelly +0.582%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%40.08%40.51%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.362.5045.45%42.16%42.37%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.65%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 40.35%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.872%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005%4.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 23:40
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:39
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 05:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -11.72%E -7.92%K -24.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-18 23:40
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-18 23:19
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 17:40
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:15
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 20:45
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 18:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.78%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.78%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 23:10
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 23:40
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:10
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 19:55
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 23:38
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:44
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 16:44
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 23:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 22:18
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.77%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 21:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 23:37
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.14%E -5.28%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-18 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-05-18 23:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-18 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-18 23:00
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-17 23:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-18 20:40
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%2.1%2026-05-18 23:40
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%4.3%2026-05-18 23:40