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Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 59.65%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.383%
Ventaja -0.229%
Kelly -0.571%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.23%59.92%59.49%62.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.581.601.6767.57%63.11%62.50%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)
Predicción 40.35%2.48momio equitativo
EV +0.872%
Ventaja +0.349%
Kelly +0.582%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%40.08%40.51%41.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.362.5045.45%42.16%42.37%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.65%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 40.35%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.872%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-18 05:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -11.72%E -7.92%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-18 23:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-18 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.78%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.78%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 23:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 16:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 22:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.77%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 21:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 23:37 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.14%E -5.28%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | -0.2% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |