L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 23:41 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 3–9 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 59.65%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.383%
Avantage -0.229%
Kelly -0.571%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.23%59.92%59.49%62.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.581.601.6767.57%63.11%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.35%2.48cote équitable
EV +0.872%
Avantage +0.349%
Kelly +0.582%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.66%40.08%40.51%41.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.362.5045.45%42.16%42.37%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005%4.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.872%E +0.349%K +0.582%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 23:40
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.93%E -6.57%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -7.02%K -21.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 22:15
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 23:40
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -1.95%E -0.803%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 23:40
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:39
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 17:45
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 05:35
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -11.72%E -7.92%K -24.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-18 23:40
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.17%E -1.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.57%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-18 23:19
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 17:40
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:15
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:15
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 22:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.97%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 20:45
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 18:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 18:00
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.78%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.78%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:10
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -0.383%E -0.229%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 23:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:55
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 23:39
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 19:15
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 23:40
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 18:00
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 19:55
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 17:05
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.18%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 23:38
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -5.58%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 11:44
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 16:44
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 23:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 23:39
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 23:40
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.39%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 23:40
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.58%E -0.955%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 22:18
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.77%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:20
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.37%E -2.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.56%E -2.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 23:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 21:13
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 23:29
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.87%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 23:37
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.35%E -4.04%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.21%E -4.10%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.14%E -5.28%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.23%E -5.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-18 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-05-18 23:20
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-18 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-18 23:00
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-17 23:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-18 20:40
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%2.1%2026-05-18 23:40
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%4.3%2026-05-18 23:40