Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 00:06 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 5–1 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 36.16%2.77fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.446%
Kelly +0.693%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%36.14%36.14%37.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.662.652.8039.22%37.55%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 63.84%1.57fair odd
EV +0.229%
Edge +0.146%
Kelly +0.402%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.44%63.86%63.86%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.491.5770.92%67.06%67.11%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 36.16%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 63.84%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.25%E +0.446%K +0.693%G +0.009%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.25%E +0.446%K +0.693%G +0.009%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 23:55
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -0.199%E -0.072%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:54
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:55
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:55
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:54
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:55
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.35%E -6.58%K -22.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:40
DraftKings🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%EV -0.922%E -0.336%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-04 18:34
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:55
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 20:00
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.73%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.73%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:50
Caesars🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%EV -3.09%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%EV -1.05%E -0.676%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-04 23:49
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 23:50
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 17:19
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.81%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:59
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:09
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:50
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:54
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:00
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:00
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:04
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 17:14
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.54%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 23:59
Bovada🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -9.99%E -7.08%K -24.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 23:54
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:40
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.229%E +0.146%K +0.402%G +0.001%2.0%2026-08-04 20:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 23:55
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:04
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:50
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.35%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:50
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:55
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:54
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-05 00:04
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-04 21:35
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-04 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-08-05 00:00
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-05 00:05
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-08-05 00:05
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-08-04 23:45