The School of Odds
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Chicago Cubs v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-08-05 00:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 36.13%2.77fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.670%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.70%36.15%36.14%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.632.8240.82%38.04%38.02%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 63.87%1.57fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.85%63.86%65.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5469.44%67.02%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 36.13%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 63.87%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.82, producing a positive expected value of +1.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%EV +1.89%E +0.670%K +1.04%G +0.020%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%EV -3.56%E -2.36%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 17:54
LowVig.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.09%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.09%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 18:05
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -2.09%E -0.770%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 17:54
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 18:24
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 18:48
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:24
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.45%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 17:49
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -3.17%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 18:24
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.25%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 17:44
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.25%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 18:45
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.25%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 19:00
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.25%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:24
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:49
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.25%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:49
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.98%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 18:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.34%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.34%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 18:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.56%E -2.36%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 18:24
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 17:44
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 18:19
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 18:44
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 18:44
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.56%E -2.36%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 18:19
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.14%E -2.78%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.56%E -2.36%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 18:20
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:55
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.75%E -4.62%K -14.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:44
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-03 17:45
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-03 17:45
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 36.92%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%10.1%2026-08-03 18:45