Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Los Angeles Dodgers

Início: 2026-08-05 00:06 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 5–1 Los Angeles Dodgers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

36%

64%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 36.16%2.77odd justa

EV +1.25%

Vantagem +0.446%

Kelly +0.693%

Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

34.05%36.14%36.14%37.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

2.552.662.652.8039.22%37.55%37.74%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Previsão 63.84%1.57odd justa

EV +0.229%

Vantagem +0.146%

Kelly +0.402%

Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

62.44%63.86%63.86%65.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.411.491.491.5770.92%67.06%67.11%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 36.16%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 63.84%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.77. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.25%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
BetRivers🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.25%E +0.446%K +0.693%G +0.009%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-04 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.25%E +0.446%K +0.693%G +0.009%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-04 23:55
FanDuel🎯	2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -0.199%E -0.072%K -0.113%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-08-04 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.3%	2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:54
Casumo🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:55
Unibet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:55
betPARX🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:54
Bally Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:55
TABtouch🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 23:55
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.35%E -6.58%K -22.25%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-04 23:40
DraftKings🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%EV -0.922%E -0.336%K -0.530%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%	1.4%	2026-08-04 18:34
Pinnacle🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-04 23:55
TAB🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-04 20:00
PlayUp🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-04 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-04 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-04 23:54
LowVig.ag🎯	2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.73%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-04 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.73%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-04 23:50
Caesars🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%EV -3.09%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%EV -1.05%E -0.676%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-04 23:49
GTbets🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-04 23:50
SportsBet🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-04 17:19
BetAnything🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.81%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-04 23:59
theScore Bet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-04 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 22:09
ReBet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 22:50
BetMGM🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-04 23:54
Fliff🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 22:55
NordicBet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 20:00
Betsson🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 20:00
Betway🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-05 00:04
888sport🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 17:14
BetUS🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.54%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-04 23:59
Bovada🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-05 00:04
Grosvenor🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -9.99%E -7.08%K -24.35%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-08-04 23:54
Coral🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-05 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 23:45
Paddy Power🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 21:40
1xBet🎯	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.229%E +0.146%K +0.402%G +0.001%	2.0%	2026-08-04 20:19
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-04 23:55
Bet Right🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-05 00:04
Fanatics🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 19:50
William Hill🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 18:25
Coolbet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-04 23:54
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-04 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.35%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 23:50
Neds🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-04 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-04 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-04 21:55
Bet Victor🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-04 23:54
betano_uk🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-04 23:54

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
BetOpenly◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	0.5%	2026-08-05 00:04
Novig◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	0.5%	2026-08-04 21:35
ProphetX◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%	0.6%	2026-08-04 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%	0.6%	2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%	0.7%	2026-08-05 00:00
Polymarket◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%	0.9%	2026-08-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%	0.9%	2026-08-05 00:05
Matchbook◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%	1.0%	2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%	1.4%	2026-08-05 00:05
Kalshi◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%	2.0%	2026-08-04 23:45