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Chicago Cubs v Los Angeles Dodgers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 36.16%2.77momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.446%
Kelly +0.693%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.05%36.14%36.14%37.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.662.652.8039.22%37.55%37.74%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)
Predicción 63.84%1.57momio equitativo
EV +0.229%
Ventaja +0.146%
Kelly +0.402%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.44%63.86%63.86%65.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.491.491.5770.92%67.06%67.11%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 36.16%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 63.84%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.77. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.25%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.25%E +0.446%K +0.693%G +0.009% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +1.25%E +0.446%K +0.693%G +0.009% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -0.199%E -0.072%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.560%E -0.204%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.35%E -6.58%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%EV -0.922%E -0.336%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.37%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.73%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -2.73%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%EV -3.09%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%EV -1.05%E -0.676%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 23:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.81%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.54%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -9.99%E -7.08%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.07%E -5.60%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.229%E +0.146%K +0.402%G +0.001% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.60%E -2.39%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 19:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.88%E -3.27%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.35%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.43%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 23:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |