La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-05-06 23:41 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 7–6 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 59.74%1.67quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.95%59.71%59.74%61.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.581.571.6366.23%63.38%63.69%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.26%2.48quota equa
EV -0.555%
Vantaggio -0.225%
Kelly -0.378%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.44%40.29%40.26%42.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.382.382.4746.51%42.08%42.02%40.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.63%E -1.61%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-06 22:50
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -0.555%E -0.225%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:40
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:40
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:37
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 23:39
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 23:39
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 23:37
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 23:28
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 23:39
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:40
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 23:40
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 06:39
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 20:44
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 20:40
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.80%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:50
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:45
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 16:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 16:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 16:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 11:44
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 23:29
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 23:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 23:40
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -7.80%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 23:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:40
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 21:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -13.44%E -6.25%K -11.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 16:50
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 23:29
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.00%E -5.20%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 23:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 23:40
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -6.19%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -9.79%E -6.49%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -6.59%E -2.84%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81%0.1%2026-05-06 23:39
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-06 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-05-06 23:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-06 22:10
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-05-06 23:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-06 23:40
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-05-06 23:40
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 58.38%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%11.2%2026-05-06 23:40