La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 59.74%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -4.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.95%59.71%59.74%61.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.581.571.6366.23%63.38%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 40.26%2.48momio equitativo
EV -0.555%
Ventaja -0.225%
Kelly -0.378%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%40.29%40.26%42.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.382.382.4746.51%42.08%42.02%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.63%E -1.61%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -0.555%E -0.225%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.958%E -0.389%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 23:37 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 23:39 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 23:39 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 23:37 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 23:28 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 23:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 06:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 20:44 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 20:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.80%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Betsson | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 16:40 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 16:40 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 11:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 23:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -7.80%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.17%E -0.891%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -13.44%E -6.25%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.00%E -5.20%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -6.19%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -9.79%E -6.49%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -6.59%E -2.84%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 23:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 22:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.38% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62% | 11.2% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |